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Forecast for XLK ETF: Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund

Updated Feb 14, 2020
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By default, this page shows the forecast made for Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund ETF on the latest available forecasting date, and for a period of up to 28 days (4-weeks) under the sections titled weekly, fortnightly and monthly forecasts. To check for the forecasts for other ETF/ made on other forecasting dates/ made for other target dates, please use the above form after selecting appropriate values.

As of Friday, 14 February 2020, the Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund ETF closed at the price of $101.96. Based on the closing value and based on a few other key price and value forecasting parameters, following is the probability predictions for the given target levels for the forecast of Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund ETF. These probability values - in higher-range (70%-100%) , in medium-range (50%-70%) , or in lower-range (0%-50%) - indicate the chance that the Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund index value may reach the mentioned target level anytime between the prediction date and the target date period (sooner or later). Simply put, the higher the probability value, the better the chance that the mentioned target level will be achieved during the target period.

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This page is updated with new forecasts after every trading day. Bookmark it to check for latest forecasts!

Weekly Forecast for Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLK ETF) (This Week)

Weekly forecasts range from one day to seven days. They are well-suited for intra-day traders who are actively - and repeatedly - buying and selling stocks, ETFs and derivative instruments. Due to the active and frequent trading activities they need to monitor the price movements at regular intervals and play in a narrow zone of price movements. Such active traders may look for very small price changes (like half a percent up or 1 percent down), and trade many number of times to make it big. For example, if one generates only a miniscule half-a-percent profit per day for each of the 250 trading days in a calendar year, then total annual profit comes to around (0.5% * 250 days = 125% annual returns), which is generating returns more than double of the trading capital.
However, such active traders need good experience in the markets and they need good discipline to book losses if the trade is not going their way. Apart from stocks and ETFs, such traders may trade in futures, options and other derivatives and any of the combinations.

Weekly forecast made on Friday, 14 February 2020 for target levels for Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund index by target date Friday, 21 February 2020 with expected probability values.
How to use this info? See a detailed live example in the FAQs section.
UP-SIDE Forecast Target Level Period Recommendation
Moderate probability of 67.58% that price will go UP by +0.5% to the target level of $102.47from Mon, 17-Feb-20 to Fri, 21-Feb-2020  A probability of 67.58% represents a moderately higher chance of profitability. Trading with strict stop-loss advised for those who actively track and act on the market developments.
Average probability of 51.17% that price will go UP by +1% to the target level of $102.98from Mon, 17-Feb-20 to Fri, 21-Feb-2020  A probability of 51.17% represents a game of 50-50 : it may hit, it may miss. Trade at your own risk!
Since other UP-SIDE target levels have a probability (chance) of less-than 25%, they are not included.

DOWN-SIDE Forecast Target Level Period Recommendation
Low probability of 40.62% that price will go DOWN by -0.5% to the target level of $101.45from Mon, 17-Feb-20 to Fri, 21-Feb-2020  A probability of 40.62% represents a risky proposition. The trade may be a gamble at your own risk.
Low probability of 26.17% that price will go DOWN by -1% to the target level of $100.94from Mon, 17-Feb-20 to Fri, 21-Feb-2020  A probability of 26.17% represents a risky proposition. The trade may be a gamble at your own risk.
Since other DOWN-SIDE target levels have a probability (chance) of less-than 25%, they are not included.

Fortnightly Forecast for Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLK ETF) (Next Week)

Fortnightly forecast periods range from eight days to 14 days and similar to the weekly forecasts they are more suited for the active day-traders. Such stock market participants make short-term bets on the various financial instruments available for trading, and they regularly book profits (or losses) in small amounts several times in an attempt to make it big.

Fortnightly forecast made on Friday, 14 February 2020 for target levels for Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund index by target date Friday, 28 February 2020 with expected probability values.
How to use this info? See a detailed live example in the FAQs section.
UP-SIDE Forecast Target Level Period Recommendation
Good probability of 73.53% that price will go UP by +0.5% to the target level of $102.47from Mon, 17-Feb-20 to Fri, 28-Feb-2020  A probability of 73.53% represents a high chance of positive outcome. One can trade though stop-loss is advised.
Good probability of 70.59% that price will go UP by +1% to the target level of $102.98from Mon, 17-Feb-20 to Fri, 28-Feb-2020  A probability of 70.59% represents a high chance of positive outcome. One can trade though stop-loss is advised.
Average probability of 50% that price will go UP by +2% to the target level of $104.00from Mon, 17-Feb-20 to Fri, 28-Feb-2020  A probability of 50% represents a game of 50-50 : it may hit, it may miss. Trade at your own risk!
Low probability of 32.35% that price will go UP by +3% to the target level of $105.02from Mon, 17-Feb-20 to Fri, 28-Feb-2020  A probability of 32.35% represents a risky proposition. The trade may be a gamble at your own risk.
Since other UP-SIDE target levels have a probability (chance) of less-than 25%, they are not included.

DOWN-SIDE Forecast Target Level Period Recommendation
Good probability of 70.59% that price will go DOWN by -0.5% to the target level of $101.45from Mon, 17-Feb-20 to Fri, 28-Feb-2020  A probability of 70.59% represents a high chance of positive outcome. One can trade though stop-loss is advised.
Average probability of 55.88% that price will go DOWN by -1% to the target level of $100.94from Mon, 17-Feb-20 to Fri, 28-Feb-2020  A probability of 55.88% represents a game of 50-50 : it may hit, it may miss. Trade at your own risk!
Since other DOWN-SIDE target levels have a probability (chance) of less-than 25%, they are not included.

Monthly Forecast for Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLK ETF) (This Month)

Monthly forecasting inputs typically span a month - that is, their target levels are expected to be hit within a period from around 15 days to around 30 days of the prediction date. This horizon also qualifies for short-term trading, and such traders exhibit more patience to wait for entry and exit into a trade over a period of a month. Such traders allow their trades a sufficient time so that they can make a relatively better profitable move in higher amounts. They look for a little higher returns, which may be to the tune of 1 percent to 3 percent, such that their net annual returns may come to around (3% * 12 months = 36% annual returns) or similar.

Monthly forecast made on Friday, 14 February 2020 for target levels for Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund index by target date Friday, 06 March 2020 with expected probability values.
How to use this info? See a detailed live example in the FAQs section.
UP-SIDE Forecast Target Level Period Recommendation
Very High probability of 84.38% that price will go UP by +0.5% to the target level of $102.47from Mon, 17-Feb-20 to Fri, 06-Mar-2020  A probability of 84.38% represents a very high chance of positive outcome! Trade can be made with high chance of profit.
Good probability of 76.95% that price will go UP by +1% to the target level of $102.98from Mon, 17-Feb-20 to Fri, 06-Mar-2020  A probability of 76.95% represents a high chance of positive outcome. One can trade though stop-loss is advised.
Moderate probability of 60.55% that price will go UP by +2% to the target level of $104.00from Mon, 17-Feb-20 to Fri, 06-Mar-2020  A probability of 60.55% represents a moderately higher chance of profitability. Trading with strict stop-loss advised for those who actively track and act on the market developments.
Low probability of 42.19% that price will go UP by +3% to the target level of $105.02from Mon, 17-Feb-20 to Fri, 06-Mar-2020  A probability of 42.19% represents a risky proposition. The trade may be a gamble at your own risk.
Since other UP-SIDE target levels have a probability (chance) of less-than 25%, they are not included.

DOWN-SIDE Forecast Target Level Period Recommendation
Moderate probability of 60.16% that price will go DOWN by -0.5% to the target level of $101.45from Mon, 17-Feb-20 to Fri, 06-Mar-2020  A probability of 60.16% represents a moderately higher chance of profitability. Trading with strict stop-loss advised for those who actively track and act on the market developments.
Average probability of 50.78% that price will go DOWN by -1% to the target level of $100.94from Mon, 17-Feb-20 to Fri, 06-Mar-2020  A probability of 50.78% represents a game of 50-50 : it may hit, it may miss. Trade at your own risk!
Low probability of 32.03% that price will go DOWN by -2% to the target level of $99.92from Mon, 17-Feb-20 to Fri, 06-Mar-2020  A probability of 32.03% represents a risky proposition. The trade may be a gamble at your own risk.
Since other DOWN-SIDE target levels have a probability (chance) of less-than 25%, they are not included.

Monthly Forecast for Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLK ETF) (This Month)

Monthly forecasting inputs typically span a month - that is, their target levels are expected to be hit within a period from around 15 days to around 30 days of the prediction date. This horizon also qualifies for short-term trading, and such traders exhibit more patience to wait for entry and exit into a trade over a period of a month. Such traders allow their trades a sufficient time so that they can make a relatively better profitable move in higher amounts. They look for a little higher returns, which may be to the tune of 1 percent to 3 percent, such that their net annual returns may come to around (3% * 12 months = 36% annual returns) or similar.

Monthly forecast made on Friday, 14 February 2020 for target levels for Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund index by target date Friday, 13 March 2020 with expected probability values.
How to use this info? See a detailed live example in the FAQs section.
UP-SIDE Forecast Target Level Period Recommendation
Extremely High probability of 91.18% that price will go UP by +0.5% to the target level of $102.47from Mon, 17-Feb-20 to Fri, 13-Mar-2020  A probability of 91.18% represents an extremely high chance of positive outcome! If not take a chance at these high probability levels, then when?
Extremely High probability of 91.18% that price will go UP by +1% to the target level of $102.98from Mon, 17-Feb-20 to Fri, 13-Mar-2020  A probability of 91.18% represents an extremely high chance of positive outcome! If not take a chance at these high probability levels, then when?
Good probability of 79.41% that price will go UP by +2% to the target level of $104.00from Mon, 17-Feb-20 to Fri, 13-Mar-2020  A probability of 79.41% represents a high chance of positive outcome. One can trade though stop-loss is advised.
Good probability of 76.47% that price will go UP by +3% to the target level of $105.02from Mon, 17-Feb-20 to Fri, 13-Mar-2020  A probability of 76.47% represents a high chance of positive outcome. One can trade though stop-loss is advised.
Average probability of 55.88% that price will go UP by +4% to the target level of $106.04from Mon, 17-Feb-20 to Fri, 13-Mar-2020  A probability of 55.88% represents a game of 50-50 : it may hit, it may miss. Trade at your own risk!
Since other UP-SIDE target levels have a probability (chance) of less-than 25%, they are not included.

DOWN-SIDE Forecast Target Level Period Recommendation
Good probability of 73.53% that price will go DOWN by -0.5% to the target level of $101.45from Mon, 17-Feb-20 to Fri, 13-Mar-2020  A probability of 73.53% represents a high chance of positive outcome. One can trade though stop-loss is advised.
Moderate probability of 61.76% that price will go DOWN by -1% to the target level of $100.94from Mon, 17-Feb-20 to Fri, 13-Mar-2020  A probability of 61.76% represents a moderately higher chance of profitability. Trading with strict stop-loss advised for those who actively track and act on the market developments.
Low probability of 32.35% that price will go DOWN by -2% to the target level of $99.92from Mon, 17-Feb-20 to Fri, 13-Mar-2020  A probability of 32.35% represents a risky proposition. The trade may be a gamble at your own risk.
Since other DOWN-SIDE target levels have a probability (chance) of less-than 25%, they are not included.

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