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Forecast for S&P 500 (GSPC) Index

Updated Feb 14, 2020
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By default, this page shows the forecast made for S&P 500 index on the latest available forecasting date, and for a period of up to 28 days (4-weeks) under the sections titled weekly, fortnightly and monthly forecasts. To check for the forecasts for other index/ made on other forecasting dates/ made for other target dates, please use the above form after selecting appropriate values.

As of Friday, 14 February 2020, the S&P 500 index closed at the value of 3,380.16. Based on the closing value and based on a few other key price and value forecasting parameters, following is the probability predictions for the given target levels for the forecast of S&P 500 index. These probability values - in higher-range (70%-100%) , in medium-range (50%-70%) , or in lower-range (0%-50%) - indicate the chance that the S&P 500 index value may reach the mentioned target level anytime between the prediction date and the target date period (sooner or later). Simply put, the higher the probability value, the better the chance that the mentioned target level will be achieved during the target period.

How are we doing? Check Past Results of S&P 500 Index Forecasts made by QForecast.com in the past!

This page is updated with new forecasts after every trading day. Bookmark it to check for latest forecasts!

Weekly Forecast for S&P 500 Index (This Week)

Weekly forecasts range from one day to seven days. They are well-suited for intra-day traders who are actively - and repeatedly - buying and selling stocks, ETFs and derivative instruments. Due to the active and frequent trading activities they need to monitor the price movements at regular intervals and play in a narrow zone of price movements. Such active traders may look for very small price changes (like half a percent up or 1 percent down), and trade many number of times to make it big. For example, if one generates only a miniscule half-a-percent profit per day for each of the 250 trading days in a calendar year, then total annual profit comes to around (0.5% * 250 days = 125% annual returns), which is generating returns more than double of the trading capital.
However, such active traders need good experience in the markets and they need good discipline to book losses if the trade is not going their way. Apart from stocks and ETFs, such traders may trade in futures, options and other derivatives and any of the combinations.

Weekly forecast made on Friday, 14 February 2020 for target levels for S&P 500 index by target date Friday, 21 February 2020 with expected probability values.
How to use this info? See a detailed live example in the FAQs section.
UP-SIDE Forecast Target Level Period Recommendation
Average probability of 56.06% that price will go UP by +0.5% to the target level of 3,397.06from Mon, 17-Feb-20 to Fri, 21-Feb-2020  A probability of 56.06% represents a game of 50-50 : it may hit, it may miss. Trade at your own risk!
Low probability of 29.93% that price will go UP by +1% to the target level of 3,413.96from Mon, 17-Feb-20 to Fri, 21-Feb-2020  A probability of 29.93% represents a risky proposition. The trade may be a gamble at your own risk.
Since other UP-SIDE target levels have a probability (chance) of less-than 25%, they are not included.

DOWN-SIDE Forecast Target Level Period Recommendation
Low probability of 30.17% that price will go DOWN by -0.5% to the target level of 3,363.26from Mon, 17-Feb-20 to Fri, 21-Feb-2020  A probability of 30.17% represents a risky proposition. The trade may be a gamble at your own risk.
Since other DOWN-SIDE target levels have a probability (chance) of less-than 25%, they are not included.

Fortnightly Forecast for S&P 500 Index (Next Week)

Fortnightly forecast periods range from eight days to 14 days and similar to the weekly forecasts they are more suited for the active day-traders. Such stock market participants make short-term bets on the various financial instruments available for trading, and they regularly book profits (or losses) in small amounts several times in an attempt to make it big.

Fortnightly forecast made on Friday, 14 February 2020 for target levels for S&P 500 index by target date Friday, 28 February 2020 with expected probability values.
How to use this info? See a detailed live example in the FAQs section.
UP-SIDE Forecast Target Level Period Recommendation
Moderate probability of 68.12% that price will go UP by +0.5% to the target level of 3,397.06from Mon, 17-Feb-20 to Fri, 28-Feb-2020  A probability of 68.12% represents a moderately higher chance of profitability. Trading with strict stop-loss advised for those who actively track and act on the market developments.
Moderate probability of 63.77% that price will go UP by +1% to the target level of 3,413.96from Mon, 17-Feb-20 to Fri, 28-Feb-2020  A probability of 63.77% represents a moderately higher chance of profitability. Trading with strict stop-loss advised for those who actively track and act on the market developments.
Low probability of 28.99% that price will go UP by +2% to the target level of 3,447.76from Mon, 17-Feb-20 to Fri, 28-Feb-2020  A probability of 28.99% represents a risky proposition. The trade may be a gamble at your own risk.
Since other UP-SIDE target levels have a probability (chance) of less-than 25%, they are not included.

DOWN-SIDE Forecast Target Level Period Recommendation
Average probability of 53.62% that price will go DOWN by -0.5% to the target level of 3,363.26from Mon, 17-Feb-20 to Fri, 28-Feb-2020  A probability of 53.62% represents a game of 50-50 : it may hit, it may miss. Trade at your own risk!
Low probability of 40.58% that price will go DOWN by -1% to the target level of 3,346.36from Mon, 17-Feb-20 to Fri, 28-Feb-2020  A probability of 40.58% represents a risky proposition. The trade may be a gamble at your own risk.
Since other DOWN-SIDE target levels have a probability (chance) of less-than 25%, they are not included.

Monthly Forecast for S&P 500 Index (This Month)

Monthly forecasting inputs typically span a month - that is, their target levels are expected to be hit within a period from around 15 days to around 30 days of the prediction date. This horizon also qualifies for short-term trading, and such traders exhibit more patience to wait for entry and exit into a trade over a period of a month. Such traders allow their trades a sufficient time so that they can make a relatively better profitable move in higher amounts. They look for a little higher returns, which may be to the tune of 1 percent to 3 percent, such that their net annual returns may come to around (3% * 12 months = 36% annual returns) or similar.

Monthly forecast made on Friday, 14 February 2020 for target levels for S&P 500 index by target date Friday, 06 March 2020 with expected probability values.
How to use this info? See a detailed live example in the FAQs section.
UP-SIDE Forecast Target Level Period Recommendation
Very High probability of 81.95% that price will go UP by +0.5% to the target level of 3,397.06from Mon, 17-Feb-20 to Fri, 06-Mar-2020  A probability of 81.95% represents a very high chance of positive outcome! Trade can be made with high chance of profit.
Moderate probability of 65.32% that price will go UP by +1% to the target level of 3,413.96from Mon, 17-Feb-20 to Fri, 06-Mar-2020  A probability of 65.32% represents a moderately higher chance of profitability. Trading with strict stop-loss advised for those who actively track and act on the market developments.
Low probability of 31.12% that price will go UP by +2% to the target level of 3,447.76from Mon, 17-Feb-20 to Fri, 06-Mar-2020  A probability of 31.12% represents a risky proposition. The trade may be a gamble at your own risk.
Since other UP-SIDE target levels have a probability (chance) of less-than 25%, they are not included.

DOWN-SIDE Forecast Target Level Period Recommendation
Average probability of 53.68% that price will go DOWN by -0.5% to the target level of 3,363.26from Mon, 17-Feb-20 to Fri, 06-Mar-2020  A probability of 53.68% represents a game of 50-50 : it may hit, it may miss. Trade at your own risk!
Low probability of 39.43% that price will go DOWN by -1% to the target level of 3,346.36from Mon, 17-Feb-20 to Fri, 06-Mar-2020  A probability of 39.43% represents a risky proposition. The trade may be a gamble at your own risk.
Since other DOWN-SIDE target levels have a probability (chance) of less-than 25%, they are not included.

Monthly Forecast for S&P 500 Index (This Month)

Monthly forecasting inputs typically span a month - that is, their target levels are expected to be hit within a period from around 15 days to around 30 days of the prediction date. This horizon also qualifies for short-term trading, and such traders exhibit more patience to wait for entry and exit into a trade over a period of a month. Such traders allow their trades a sufficient time so that they can make a relatively better profitable move in higher amounts. They look for a little higher returns, which may be to the tune of 1 percent to 3 percent, such that their net annual returns may come to around (3% * 12 months = 36% annual returns) or similar.

Monthly forecast made on Friday, 14 February 2020 for target levels for S&P 500 index by target date Friday, 13 March 2020 with expected probability values.
How to use this info? See a detailed live example in the FAQs section.
UP-SIDE Forecast Target Level Period Recommendation
Very High probability of 84.06% that price will go UP by +0.5% to the target level of 3,397.06from Mon, 17-Feb-20 to Fri, 13-Mar-2020  A probability of 84.06% represents a very high chance of positive outcome! Trade can be made with high chance of profit.
Good probability of 76.81% that price will go UP by +1% to the target level of 3,413.96from Mon, 17-Feb-20 to Fri, 13-Mar-2020  A probability of 76.81% represents a high chance of positive outcome. One can trade though stop-loss is advised.
Average probability of 50.72% that price will go UP by +2% to the target level of 3,447.76from Mon, 17-Feb-20 to Fri, 13-Mar-2020  A probability of 50.72% represents a game of 50-50 : it may hit, it may miss. Trade at your own risk!
Low probability of 31.88% that price will go UP by +3% to the target level of 3,481.56from Mon, 17-Feb-20 to Fri, 13-Mar-2020  A probability of 31.88% represents a risky proposition. The trade may be a gamble at your own risk.
Since other UP-SIDE target levels have a probability (chance) of less-than 25%, they are not included.

DOWN-SIDE Forecast Target Level Period Recommendation
Moderate probability of 66.67% that price will go DOWN by -0.5% to the target level of 3,363.26from Mon, 17-Feb-20 to Fri, 13-Mar-2020  A probability of 66.67% represents a moderately higher chance of profitability. Trading with strict stop-loss advised for those who actively track and act on the market developments.
Average probability of 56.52% that price will go DOWN by -1% to the target level of 3,346.36from Mon, 17-Feb-20 to Fri, 13-Mar-2020  A probability of 56.52% represents a game of 50-50 : it may hit, it may miss. Trade at your own risk!
Low probability of 37.68% that price will go DOWN by -2% to the target level of 3,312.56from Mon, 17-Feb-20 to Fri, 13-Mar-2020  A probability of 37.68% represents a risky proposition. The trade may be a gamble at your own risk.
Low probability of 33.33% that price will go DOWN by -3% to the target level of 3,278.76from Mon, 17-Feb-20 to Fri, 13-Mar-2020  A probability of 33.33% represents a risky proposition. The trade may be a gamble at your own risk.
Since other DOWN-SIDE target levels have a probability (chance) of less-than 25%, they are not included.

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